762
FNUS53 KAPX 130819
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
319 AM EST WED NOV 13 2024
..OCCASIONAL RAIN CHANCES
DISCUSSION
BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL USHER MORE MOISTURE INTO THE REGION
AND PROVIDE INCREASING CLOUD COVER AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. SHOWER
CHANCES INCREASE FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHEAST TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. EXPECTED TOTALS ARE 0.10" TO 0.50" WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS
EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. SOME LINGERING SHOWERS
COULD PERSIST INTO FRIDAY AS WINDS SLOWLY SHIFT NORTH-NORTHEAST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK TO REMAIN GENERALLY IN THE 40S TODAY/
THURSDAY AND LOW 50S AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-132115-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
319 AM EST WED NOV 13 2024
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (492).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (75).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.19 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
1200, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (330).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.14- 0.26 IN.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-132115-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
319 AM EST WED NOV 13 2024
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (529).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43...EXCEPT 45-50 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (73).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.14 IN .
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
UNTIL 1200, THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (355).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.13- 0.40 IN.
MIZ020-025>027-132115-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
319 AM EST WED NOV 13 2024
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN PARTLY
SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (456).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400, THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41...EXCEPT 44-49 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (69).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.09- 0.33 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
1200, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......34 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (313).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.16- 0.28 IN.
MIZ031>033-132115-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
319 AM EST WED NOV 13 2024
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN PARTLY
SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (433).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400, THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (60).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.12- 0.32 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
1200, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......36 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (296).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.15- 0.26 IN.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-132115-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
319 AM EST WED NOV 13 2024
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN PARTLY
SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (459).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (63).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.19 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (271).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.16- 0.38 IN.
EXTENDED
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NSC
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