461  
FNUS53 KAPX 070702  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
302 AM EDT WED MAY 7 2025  
 
...EXTENDED STRETCH OF RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS AND LOW LEVEL DRYING  
BEGINS TODAY...  
   
DISCUSSION  
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING RAIN-FREE AND  
INCREASINGLY DRY LOW LEVEL CONDITIONS AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE  
REMAINDER OF THIS WORK WEEK. RELATIVE HUMIDITY LOOKS TO STILL REMAIN  
A BIT ELEVATED TODAY, WITH VALUES TANKING TO NEAR OR BELOW CRITICAL  
LEVELS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON AWAY FROM THE GREAT LAKES.  
CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT WINDS LIKELY STAYING BELOW  
CRITICAL LEVELS...HOPEFULLY NEGATING A MORE HIGH-END FIRE WEATHER  
RISK.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-072245-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
302 AM EDT WED MAY 7 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62...EXCEPT 47-52 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (447).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT...EXCEPT 63-68 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (46).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60...EXCEPT 47-52 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (438).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-072245-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
302 AM EDT WED MAY 7 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 42-47 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 26 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (383).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (52).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60...EXCEPT 42-47 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (443).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ020-025>027-072245-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
302 AM EDT WED MAY 7 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 42-47 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 11 DEGREES COOLER  
NEAR THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (411).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (49).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62...EXCEPT 41-46 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT...EXCEPT 29-34 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (451).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ031>033-072245-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
302 AM EDT WED MAY 7 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68...EXCEPT 51-56 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 7 DEGREES COOLER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (424).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 50-55 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT...EXCEPT 30-35 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 16 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (591).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-072245-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
302 AM EDT WED MAY 7 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (393).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (57).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (635).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED  
 
   
FRIDAY  
CLEAR. WIDESPREAD FROST. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS  
IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSB  
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