979
FNUS53 KAPX 071917
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
317 PM EDT WED MAY 7 2025
DISCUSSION
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE, AND THE ASSOCIATED DRY AIR
MASS, WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN TO END THE WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS FALLING TO CRITICAL LEVELS INLAND EACH OF
THE NEXT COUPLE OF AFTERNOONS. HOWEVER, OUTSIDE OF A FEW GUSTS,
WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. DAYTIME MIXING HEIGHTS
WILL ALSO BE TRENDING UPWARD TO END THE WEEK.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-080830-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
317 PM EDT WED MAY 7 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (38).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 21 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (392).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35...EXCEPT 37-42 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT...EXCEPT 61-66 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT 49-54 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 4 DEGREES WARMER
NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT...EXCEPT 30-35 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-080830-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
317 PM EDT WED MAY 7 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (46).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59...EXCEPT 41-46 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (432).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34...EXCEPT 37-42 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (21).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (406).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-080830-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
317 PM EDT WED MAY 7 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (47).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62...EXCEPT 41-46 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT...EXCEPT 31-36 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (426).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35...EXCEPT 37-42 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68...EXCEPT 42-47 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (317).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-080830-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
317 PM EDT WED MAY 7 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (51).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 50-55 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT...EXCEPT 31-36 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (490).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (14).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69...EXCEPT 52-57 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT...EXCEPT 29-34 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (348).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-080830-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
317 PM EDT WED MAY 7 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (59).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (525).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (543).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
PBB
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