940  
FNUS53 KAPX 080651  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
251 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2025  
   
..ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE, AND THE ASSOCIATED DRY AIR  
MASS, WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER  
MICHIGAN TO END THE WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY LEVELS FALLING TO CRITICAL LEVELS INLAND EACH OF THE NEXT  
COUPLE OF AFTERNOONS. HOWEVER, OUTSIDE OF A FEW GUSTS, WINDS SHOULD  
REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. DAYTIME MIXING HEIGHTS WILL ALSO BE  
TRENDING UPWARD TO END THE WEEK.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-082200-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
251 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (378).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT...EXCEPT 65-70 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (14).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (310).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-082200-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
251 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59...EXCEPT 41-46 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (408).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (308).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ020-025>027-082200-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
251 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62...EXCEPT 41-46 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT...EXCEPT 32-37 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (374).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33...EXCEPT 35-40 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (17).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66...EXCEPT 42-47 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (230).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ031>033-082200-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
251 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 50-55 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT...EXCEPT 31-36 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (440).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67...EXCEPT 50-55 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED NEAR THE  
COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (284).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-082200-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
251 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (455).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (23).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (414).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED  
 
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSB  
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