762
FNUS53 KAPX 081843
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
243 PM EDT THU MAY 8 2025
..ELEVATED FIRE DANGER INTO EARLY EVENING AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY
DISCUSSION
A LARGE AREA OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL
GRADUALLY SLIDE INTO THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH FRIDAY. THE AIRMASS
IS QUITE DRY, RESULTING IN LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS.
CRITICAL RH VALUES WILL BE OBSERVED AT MANY LOCATIONS AWAY FROM
THE COASTS ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE A BIT GUSTY INTO
EARLY THIS EVENING,THEN DISSIPATE. LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON
FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE IS MORE DIRECTLY OVERHEAD. GIVEN THE LACK
OF MOISTURE WITH THIS AIRMASS, RH RECOVERY WILL NOT BE QUITE A
STRONG TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY
AWAY FROM THE COASTS TONIGHT. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE TRENDING
UPWARD TO END THE WEEK.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-090815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
243 PM EDT THU MAY 8 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT...EXCEPT 65-70 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 18 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (14).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (344).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48...EXCEPT AROUND 50 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (31).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 18 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (656).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-090815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
243 PM EDT THU MAY 8 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (21).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (376).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT 47-52 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (638).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-090815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
243 PM EDT THU MAY 8 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33...EXCEPT 35-40 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (15).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 42-47 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (249).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68...EXCEPT 41-46 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (544).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-090815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
243 PM EDT THU MAY 8 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (21).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66...EXCEPT 50-55 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR
THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (301).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (27).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71...EXCEPT 53-58 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT...EXCEPT 45-50 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 22 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (672).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-090815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
243 PM EDT THU MAY 8 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (23).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (435).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (19).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (780).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
JK
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