693  
FNUS53 KAPX 301951  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
351 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025  
   
..ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT WILL USHER IN DRY AND COOL AIR FOR THIS  
WEEKEND. NORTH WINDS WILL BE BREEZY (5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
15 TO 20 MPH) IN THE LATE MORNING TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS  
COINCIDES WITH DRIER HUMIDITIES (MIN HUMIDITIES IN THE LOW TO  
HIGH 20S), AND WILL LEAD TO SOME NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS MIDDAY  
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS OF SATURDAY. SKIES WILL CLEAR UP,  
ALLOWING FOR MIXING HEIGHTS TO RISE IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  
SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN SUNDAY. CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES  
RETURN MONDAY.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-310815-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
351 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
UNTIL 1800. PATCHY SMOKE UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (300).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 51-56 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1071).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42...EXCEPT 44-49 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (56).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT 52-57 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (969).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-310815-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
351 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE  
UNTIL 2400. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (332).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.37 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68...EXCEPT 49-54 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 12 DEGREES COOLER  
NEAR THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1111).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT...EXCEPT 55-60 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (94).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72...EXCEPT 52-57 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1206).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ020-025>027-310815-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
351 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE  
UNTIL 2400. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
UNTIL 1800. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (155).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (909).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41...EXCEPT 44-49 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (34).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68...EXCEPT 49-54 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (735).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ031>033-310815-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
351 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE  
UNTIL 2400. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
UNTIL 1800. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (154).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT...EXCEPT 33-38 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (999).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (51).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT...EXCEPT 34-39 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (907).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-310815-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
351 PM EDT FRI MAY 30 2025  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE  
UNTIL 2400. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (319).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1246).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (72).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1283).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED
 
 
   
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
ELD  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab MI Page Main Text Page