441
FNUS53 KAPX 020724
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
324 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2025
..ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS AFTERNOON
DISCUSSION
WARM AND RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF PERIOD THIS AFTERNOON WITH
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE STRONGEST
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL BE
IN THE 30S TODAY, AND AGAIN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOONS. WINDS
GENERALLY A NORTHWEST DIRECTION TODAY AND THURSDAY, SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHWEST ON FRIDAY WITH GUSTS 15 TO 20 MPH ON AVERAGE EACH
AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHTS BETWEEN 5 AND 8 KFT TODAY ACROSS THE
INTERIOR, 5.5 TO 7.5 KFT ON THURSDAY.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-022015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
324 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). HAZE AFTER 1200.
ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR STORMS.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (758).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). HAZE UNTIL 2400.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. SCATTERED
RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). HAZE UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82...EXCEPT AROUND 71 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT...EXCEPT 36-41 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (396).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-022015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
324 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). HAZE AFTER 1200.
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90...EXCEPT 72-77 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (994).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). HAZE. SCATTERED
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
2400SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.13 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). HAZE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 63-68 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (514).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-022015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
324 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR STORMS.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (748).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.16 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...23 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). HAZE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (344).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-022015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
324 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88...EXCEPT AROUND 81 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT...EXCEPT 36-41 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR STORMS.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (936).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (33).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.17 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). HAZE AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 72-77 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT...EXCEPT 39-44 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-022015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
324 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR STORMS.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1232).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (32).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...21 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). HAZE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (819).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
INDEPENDENCE DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
JLD
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