372
FNUS53 KAPX 021846
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
246 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2025
..A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRIER AIR ON THURSDAY
DISCUSSION
A BREAK IN SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL BE SEEN THURSDAY AS
DRIER AIR IS BRIEFLY PUSHED OVER NORTHERN MI. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
WITH A LAKE BREEZE KICKING IN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S. WINDS TURN SOUTH
FRIDAY AS MOISTURE AND HOT AIR MOVE BACK IN. MIN HUMIDITIES RETURN
INTO THE 40S FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN
THE HIGH 80S TO LOW 90S. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS RETURN LATE SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-030830-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
246 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). HAZE UNTIL 2400.
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (21).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). HAZE UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82...EXCEPT AROUND 71 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT...EXCEPT 36-41 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (446).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58...EXCEPT AROUND 60 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
INDEPENDENCE DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT...EXCEPT 47-52 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (473).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-030830-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
246 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). HAZE. CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
UNTIL 2400SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (23).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). HAZE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 63-68 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 12 DEGREES COOLER
NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (490).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (13).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
INDEPENDENCE DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89...EXCEPT AROUND 71 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (406).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-030830-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
246 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.25 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...23 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). HAZE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (392).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 25 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (22).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
INDEPENDENCE DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90...EXCEPT 68-73 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (443).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-030830-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
246 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (27).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.22 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). HAZE AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 72-77 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT...EXCEPT 39-44 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (632).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (28).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
INDEPENDENCE DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91...EXCEPT 78-83 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT...EXCEPT 54-59 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (525).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-030830-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
246 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (23).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...21 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). HAZE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (885).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
INDEPENDENCE DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (481).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
ELD
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