738
FNUS53 KAPX 241921
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
321 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2025
..DIMINISHING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
DISCUSSION
RAIN-FREE WEATHER RETURNS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY, WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING SATURDAY. WESTERLY WINDS WILL DECREASE AND TURN
NORTHERLY THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH OCCASIONAL 20 FT GUSTS IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS TO DOUBLE DIGITS THROUGH FRIDAY. MIXING HEIGHTS LOOK
TO INCREASE GENERALLY TO 5.5 TO 6.0 KFT FRIDAY AFTERNOON, WITH
DECREASING MIXING HEIGHTS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. NO RH CONCERNS.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-250815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
321 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. HAZE AND
PATCHY SMOKE AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (36).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.45 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...29 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). HAZE AND PATCHY
SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT AROUND 71 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (269).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE
UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (19).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 72-77 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (371).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.12- 0.20 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-250815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
321 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2025
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400, THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
PATCHY SMOKE AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (43).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.08- 0.43 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...45 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). HAZE AND PATCHY
SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (291).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). HAZE UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (17).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (317).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.15 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-250815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
321 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (33).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.26 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). HAZE AND PATCHY
SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (203).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE
UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (22).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 72-77 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (321).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.13- 0.23 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-250815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
321 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400, THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (35).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.03- 0.25 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...32 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). HAZE AND PATCHY
SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT...EXCEPT 48-53 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (251).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE
UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (25).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (315).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.10- 0.24 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-250815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
321 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2025
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400, THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (43).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.14- 0.34 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...51 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). HAZE AND PATCHY
SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
VENT RATE...........GOOD (320).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE
UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (26).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (395).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.19 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NSC
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