634  
FNUS53 KAPX 250646  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
246 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2025  
   
..RETURN OF RAIN-FREE WEATHER TODAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
RAIN-FREE WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH  
CHANCES FOR AT LEAST SOME SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS RETURNING  
SATURDAY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MIX OUT THIS MORNING, HELPING DROP  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO NEAR OR A BIT BELOW 40 PERCENT ACROSS  
SOME INTERIOR AREAS. ELEVATED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE PROFILES EXPECTED  
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. SUB-CRITICAL NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS TODAY,  
WITH PERHAPS SOME WEAK AFTERNOON LAKE BREEZE DEVELOPMENT. WINDS  
BECOME SOUTH SATURDAY BUT AGAIN REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. MIXING  
HEIGHTS LOOK TO INCREASE GENERALLY TO 4.5 TO 6.0 KFT THIS AFTERNOON,  
WITH LESS AGGRESSIVE MIXING HEIGHTS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-252215-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
246 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200. HAZE AND PATCHY SMOKE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (198).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE  
UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64...EXCEPT 66-71 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89...EXCEPT 73-78 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (325).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-252215-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
246 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). HAZE AND PATCHY  
SMOKE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 13 DEGREES COOLER  
NEAR THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (200).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). HAZE UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (14).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (221).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ020-025>027-252215-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
246 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200. HAZE AND PATCHY SMOKE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (187).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE  
UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 73-78 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (208).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ031>033-252215-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
246 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200. HAZE AND PATCHY SMOKE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88...EXCEPT AROUND 81 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (223).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE  
UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (31).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT AROUND 80 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (225).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-252215-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
246 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200. HAZE AND PATCHY SMOKE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (229).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE  
UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (208).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED  
 
   
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. LIGHT WINDS.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSB  
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