059  
FNUS53 KAPX 251854  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
254 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2025  
   
..INCREASED CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS SATURDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
CLOUD COVERAGE WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH  
CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS/ STORMS SATURDAY, MAINLY ACROSS  
NORTHEAST LOWER. MIXING HEIGHTS LOOK TO INCREASE GENERALLY TO 4.0  
TO 5.5 KFT FROM THE LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS AWAY  
FROM THE IMMEDIATE COASTS. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TURN  
SOUTHEAST BY SATURDAY, GAINING A MORE SOUTHWEST COMPONENT AS THE  
DAY PROGRESSES. NO RH CONCERNS.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-260815-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
254 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2025  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). HAZE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). HAZE. ISOLATED  
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 73-78 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (287).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). HAZE UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66...EXCEPT 68-73 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT...EXCEPT 55-60 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (313).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-260815-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
254 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2025  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). HAZE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (15).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). HAZE. ISOLATED  
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (192).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.24 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). HAZE UNTIL 2400.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (21).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND  
9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93...EXCEPT AROUND 80 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (310).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ020-025>027-260815-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
254 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2025  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). HAZE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (23).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). HAZE. ISOLATED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 68-73 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (257).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). HAZE UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (22).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91...EXCEPT 73-78 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (260).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ031>033-260815-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
254 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2025  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). HAZE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (28).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). HAZE. ISOLATED  
SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 72-77 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (242).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92...EXCEPT 77-82 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT...EXCEPT 60-65 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (301).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-260815-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
254 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 2025  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). HAZE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). HAZE. ISOLATED  
RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (214).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.25 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). HAZE UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (21).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.  
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (422).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED
 
 
   
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
NSC  
 
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