030
FNUS53 KAPX 260643
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
243 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2025
..A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY
DISCUSSION
MOISTURE WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY, PERHAPS ENOUGH SO TO KICK OFF A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS... ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN COVERAGE WILL BE
LIMITED, AND LIKELY MOST AREAS WILL NOT EXPERIENCE ANY RAIN AT ALL.
THAT INCREASING MOISTURE SHOULD HELP KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
ABOVE 40 PERCENT, THIS DESPITE TEMPERATURES WARMING UP INTO THE
UPPER 70S TO MIDDLE 80S. RAIN CHANCES END TONIGHT...LEADING INTO A
RAIN-FREE AND RATHER WARM SUNDAY. THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL SCATTERED
SHOWERS/STORMS RETURN FOR MONDAY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE DOES MIX OUT A
BIT MORE AGGRESSIVELY ON SUNDAY, WITH RH VALUES LIKELY DIPPING
CLOSER TO 40 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST
LOWER MICHIGAN. MIXING HEIGHTS LOOK TO INCREASE GENERALLY TO 4.0 TO
5.5 KFT FROM THE LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY AWAY
FROM THE IMMEDIATE COASTS. SIMILAR MIXING HEIGHTS EXPECTED ON
SUNDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WIND CONCERNS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-262300-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
243 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 73-78 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (390).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66...EXCEPT 68-73 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (29).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92...EXCEPT 72-77 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT...EXCEPT 53-58 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (270).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-262300-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
243 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 1200CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (279).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.24 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (33).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT...EXCEPT 51-56 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (348).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-262300-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
243 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 18 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (241).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (37).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (250).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-262300-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
243 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 24 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (233).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (32).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT...EXCEPT 62-67 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (286).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-262300-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
243 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (272).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.25 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (37).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (393).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSB
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