825  
FNUS53 KAPX 261853  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
253 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2025  
   
..SHOWER CHANCES DIMINISH THIS EVENING; TURNING HOT SUNDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
ONGOING SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS NORTHEAST LOWER  
(INCLUDING PARTS OF HURON NATIONAL FOREST) WILL BE ON A DOWNWARD  
TREND INTO THIS EVENING. ANOTHER HOT AND HUMID STRETCH COMMENCES  
INTO SUNDAY AS HIGH TEMPERATURES SOAR INTO THE 80S AND EVEN 90S  
ACROSS NORTHEAST LOWER. WITH DEWPOINTS LARGELY IN THE UPPER 60S TO  
LOWER 70S, ANTICIPATING RH VALUES TO REMAIN IN CHECK, AND SW WINDS  
WILL LIKELY GUSTS UNDER 15MPH... WITH A WIND SHIFT EASTWARD ALONG  
LAKE HURON. ALL IN ALL, FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE  
REST OF THE WEEKEND. LOOKING AHEAD, SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES CREEP  
BACK INTO THE PICTURE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, WITH ONE LAST VERY  
HUMID DAY IN THE CARDS. COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER LOOKS TO BUILD BY  
MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-270815-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
253 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2025  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. PATCHY FOG AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66...EXCEPT 68-73 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92...EXCEPT 72-77 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT...EXCEPT 59-64 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (368).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (17).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93...EXCEPT AROUND 80 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT...EXCEPT 58-63 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (522).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...26 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-270815-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
253 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2025  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. PATCHY FOG AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (35).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...21 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (401).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 83-88 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95...EXCEPT 78-83 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (648).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...24 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ020-025>027-270815-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
253 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2025  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.  
PATCHY FOG AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (36).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES WARMER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (257).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68...EXCEPT AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (22).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91...EXCEPT 73-78 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (362).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ031>033-270815-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
253 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2025  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. PATCHY FOG AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (35).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (269).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92...EXCEPT 78-83 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (454).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...22 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-270815-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
253 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2025  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.  
AREAS OF FOG AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (35).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...24 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (463).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (685).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED
 
 
   
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
HAD  
 
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