746  
FNUS53 KAPX 140815  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
415 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2025  
   
..RAIN-FREE WEATHER CONTINUES  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
RAIN-FREE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN  
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/STORMS  
RETURNS ON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S  
AND LOW 80S FOR MOST AREAS THIS AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT NORTH/NORTHEAST  
WINDS IN PLACE, ALLOWING FOR AFTERNOON LAKE BREEZE DEVELOPMENT TO  
PUSH INLAND FROM ALL LAKESHORES. INTERIOR AREAS OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN  
LOOK TO SEE MINIMUM RHS DIP INTO THE 35-45 PERCENT RANGE DURING THE  
AFTERNOON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH HIGHER READINGS NEAR THE  
LAKESHORES.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-142015-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
415 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT...EXCEPT 43-48 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (264).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 65-70 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (38).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND  
12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT...EXCEPT 39-44 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (696).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-142015-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
415 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). HAZE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (302).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 83-88 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (28).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (763).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ020-025>027-142015-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
415 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 1200.  
HAZE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (221).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 68-73 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 4 DEGREES WARMER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (28).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (590).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ031>033-142015-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
415 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). HAZE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT...EXCEPT 47-52 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (270).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (29).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88...EXCEPT AROUND 81 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT...EXCEPT 42-47 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (621).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-142015-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
415 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). HAZE UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (315).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (29).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (850).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED  
 
   
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID  
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
DJC  
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