884
FNUS53 KAPX 150712
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
312 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2025
..SHOWER/STORM CHANCES INCREASE THIS WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY, A BIT BREEZY AT TIMES,
WITH DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS (5.5 TO 7.5 KFT) PROMOTING AGGRESSIVE
DRYING MIDDAY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. MIN RHS EXPECTED TO FALL TO
THE 30-40% RANGE, LOWEST AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE SHORELINES.
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE THIS WEEKEND, WITH INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR
SHOWERS/STORMS. BEST POTENTIAL FOR THIS ARRIVES LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-152015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
312 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90...EXCEPT AROUND 80 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (661).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 71-76 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 21 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (299).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.14- 0.40 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...41 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-152015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
312 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (632).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 76-81 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (33).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (273).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.07- 0.41 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-152015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
312 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89...EXCEPT 73-78 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (556).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (31).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.12 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 71-76 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (273).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.17- 0.55 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...35 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-152015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
312 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89...EXCEPT 77-82 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
VENT RATE...........GOOD (579).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 95-100 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
VENT RATE...........GOOD (328).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.10- 0.51 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...38 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-152015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
312 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (712).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (28).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (299).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.06- 0.34 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...39 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MJG
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page