993  
FNUS53 KAPX 061934  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
334 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2025  
   
..SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
COOLER AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH THE MOST  
NUMEROUS SHOWERS FOCUSED ACROSS NORTHWEST AND NORTHCENTRAL LOWER  
INTO TONIGHT. SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST  
DURING THE DAY SUNDAY, LEAVING MONDAY RAIN-FREE BEFORE SHOWER  
CHANCES RETURN ON TUESDAY. WINDS BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT AND TURN  
NORTHWEST FOR SUNDAY WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. NO RH CONCERNS.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-070815-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
334 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2025  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44...EXCEPT 47-52 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (26).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.33 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP  
TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (775).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.13 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47...EXCEPT AROUND 50 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (839).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-070815-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
334 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2025  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44...EXCEPT 46-51 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 86-91 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (31).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP  
TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (836).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44...EXCEPT 47-52 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (25).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72...EXCEPT 60-65 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (823).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ020-025>027-070815-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
334 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2025  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44...EXCEPT AROUND 50 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (25).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.03- 0.31 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP  
TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (659).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46...EXCEPT 55-60 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (777).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ031>033-070815-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
334 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2025  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43...EXCEPT 45-50 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.22 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP  
TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (658).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45...EXCEPT 47-52 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (16).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (743).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-070815-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
334 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2025  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP  
TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (758).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (22).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (801).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED
 
 
   
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
JLD  
 
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