991  
FNUS53 KAPX 160918  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
518 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
   
..CONTINUED RAIN-FREE WEATHER
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THIS WEEK, THOUGH SHOWER CHANCES  
MAY RETURN THIS WEEKEND. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DIP INTO THE LOWER TO  
MIDDLE 30S PERCENT BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND ON WEDNESDAY. A  
NORTHERLY BREEZE ON THURSDAY WILL RESULT IN SOMEWHAT COOLER  
TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITY. BEFORE THEN, WINDS WILL REMAIN  
LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHTS TODAY WILL REACH 3500 TO 5000 FEET.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-162200-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
518 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT AROUND 71 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT...EXCEPT 48-53 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (115).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND  
3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (19).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND  
9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT...EXCEPT 47-52 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (197).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-162200-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
518 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT...EXCEPT 45-50 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (166).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (19).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (162).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ020-025>027-162200-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
518 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT...EXCEPT 45-50 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (130).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND  
3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (15).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (158).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ031>033-162200-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
518 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT...EXCEPT 48-53 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (171).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 72-77 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT...EXCEPT 44-49 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (185).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-162200-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
518 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN  
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (183).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (16).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (219).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
JZ  
 
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