203
FNUS53 KAPX 161840
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
240 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
..PRECIPITATION FREE WEATHER CONTINUES THIS WEEK
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE THIS STRETCH OF PRECIPITATION-FREE
WEATHER THROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS
WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 80S WITH VARIABLE AFTERNOON
WINDS DUE TO INLAND PENETRATING LAKE BREEZES. AFTERNOON DUE POINTS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID 50S WITH RH VALUES IN THE 30S.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-170830-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
240 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (21).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT...EXCEPT 47-52 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (231).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (19).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT...EXCEPT 59-64 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (218).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-170830-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
240 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (21).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (187).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (21).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (314).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-170830-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
240 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (197).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (14).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT...EXCEPT 58-63 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (241).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-170830-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
240 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (22).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 72-77 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT...EXCEPT 44-49 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (242).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (15).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT...EXCEPT 56-61 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (330).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-170830-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
240 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (293).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (17).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (420).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SJC
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