338  
FNUS53 KAPX 170844  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
444 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2025  
   
..MAINLY QUIET THROUGH SATURDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP IN FROM THE NORTH  
TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER LATE TONIGHT OVER  
FAR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN, AND AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON NEAR  
SAGINAW BAY. OTHERWISE, NO RAIN IS EXPECTED UNTIL SUNDAY. TODAY  
WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK IN MOST PLACES, WITH HUMIDITY  
VALUES DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 30S PERCENT. BUT WINDS REMAIN VERY  
LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHTS TODAY RANGE FROM 3500 TO 5500 FEET.A BIT OF  
A NORTHERLY BREEZE KICKS IN THURSDAY, WITH SOMEWHAT LOWER  
TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITY.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-172200-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
444 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT...EXCEPT 48-53 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (211).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (15).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (199).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-172200-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
444 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT AROUND 71 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (153).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (19).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82...EXCEPT 60-65 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 25 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (249).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ020-025>027-172200-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
444 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (192).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (207).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ031>033-172200-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
444 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT...EXCEPT 48-53 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (213).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT...EXCEPT 58-63 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (241).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-172200-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
444 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (221).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (309).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED
 
 
   
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
JZ  
 
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