146
FNUS53 KAPX 171817
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
217 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2025
..PRECIPITATION FREE WEATHER CONTINUES THIS WEEK
DISCUSSION
A FEW SHOWERS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS THURSDAY FOR AREAS NEAR SAGINAW
BAY. OTHERWISE; MOST OF THE NORTHWOODS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
PRECIPITATION-FREE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY THIS THURSDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 70S FOR MOST LOCATIONS ALONG WITH BREEZY WINDS FROM THE
NORTH. RH VALUES WILL BE WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS WITH
MINIMUM AFTERNOON VALUES BETWEEN 50% TO 70%.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-180815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
217 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (23).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (198).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56...EXCEPT 58-63 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73...EXCEPT 60-65 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (283).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-180815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
217 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82...EXCEPT 60-65 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (235).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55...EXCEPT 58-63 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (42).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (284).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-180815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
217 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
2400. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (17).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT...EXCEPT 63-68 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 24 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (38).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (257).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-180815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
217 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT...EXCEPT 59-64 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (229).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (34).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (277).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-180815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
217 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (22).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (315).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (42).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (298).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SJC
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