528  
FNUS73 KAPX 052033  
FWSAPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BENZIE LN FIRE...MIDNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
433 PM EDT SUN OCT 5 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 EDT ON OCTOBER 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE... CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (989)732-9306, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 WITH GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH WILL START TO  
BECOME 3 TO 7 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH THIS EVENING.  
ELEVATED WINDS WILL LIKELY LAST THROUGH THE NIGHT TONIGHT AS A  
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHEAST. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL  
STRENGTHEN AGAIN MONDAY MORNING, AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WINDS WILL  
TURN NORTHWEST DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS, AND WILL BE  
SHIFTY/SQUIRRELY DURING THIS TRANSITION. MIN RH VALUES IN THE 40S  
TOMORROW. A FEW ISOLATED AND BRIEF SHOWERS COULD BE SEEN MONDAY  
MORNING, HOWEVER THE WETTING RAINS WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL MONDAY  
AFTERNOON. CHANCES FOR EMBEDDED STORMS EXIST MONDAY AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS COULD BE SEEN FROM OUTFLOW WINDS.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6200 FT AGL.  
VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (1408.0).  
 
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........51 42  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0  
TEMP............83 84  
RH..............36 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.2 5.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 24  
VRATE KT-FT.....15621408  
VENTRATE CAT....EXL EXL  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH  
DECREASING TO 10 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING  
HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1200 FT AGL.  
VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (964.0) DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR  
(60.0-181.0).  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........33 27 34 38 22 31 36 33 27 21 10 7  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............81 77 70 67 65 64 63 63 63 62 61 59  
RH..............35 42 53 61 63 63 65 60 60 65 70 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 17 17 17 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 15 10 12 12 13 13 15 16 16 15 16  
VRATE KT-FT.....964 181 62 60 60 66 66 82 89 84 82 106  
VENTRATE CAT....EXL FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...22 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4600 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (90.0-391.0) INCREASING TO GOOD TO  
EXCELLENT (557.0-981.0) LATE IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........7 7 14 12 18 22 52 47 58 73 71 64  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20  
TEMP............59 59 58 63 69 74 76 78 79 78 77 75  
RH..............80 80 90 87 73 62 58 52 49 52 52 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 18 18 18 20 20 20 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.5 4.6 4.0 3.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W SW SW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 15 17 21 23 22 22 22 21 18 17  
VRATE KT-FT.....90 93 110 231 391 616 740 872 981 946 744 557  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL GD  
 
 
FORECASTER...ELD  
REQUESTED BY...NATE STEARNS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2522996.0/APX  
.DELDT 10/05/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL STEARNSN@MICHIGAN.GOV  
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