604
FNUS53 KAPX 071849
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
249 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2025
..TRENDING COOLER THROUGH MIDWEEK
DISCUSSION
A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL CROSS NORTHERN LOWER MI
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MID-EVENING. OCCASIONALLY GUSTY NORTH-
NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY TODAY,
TRENDING DOWNWARD TONIGHT. AN EVEN COOLER DAY IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
WITH HIGHS LARGELY IN THE 50S AREA-WIDE. RHS BACK INTO THE 30-40%
RANGE FOR THE VAST MAJORITY OF NORTHERN LOWER ON WEDNESDAY, PERHAPS
FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S ACROSS SOME OF THE TYPICALLY
DRIER/INTERIOR SPOTS.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-080815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
249 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (54).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (593).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35...EXCEPT 37-42 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (13).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (326).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-080815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
249 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (46).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59...EXCEPT 47-52 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (714).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33...EXCEPT AROUND 40 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (17).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 50-55 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (328).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-080815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
249 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41...EXCEPT 47-52 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 69-74 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (38).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (573).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31...EXCEPT 44-49 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 8 DEGREES COOLER
NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (23).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (325).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-080815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
249 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (25).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (585).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (328).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-080815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
249 PM EDT TUE OCT 7 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (34).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (616).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (15).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (287).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
COLUMBUS DAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MJG
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