754
FNUS53 KAPX 080711
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
311 AM EDT WED OCT 8 2025
..SEASONABLE AND DRY TODAY; NEXT RAIN CHANCE IS FRIDAY-SATURDAY
DISCUSSION
POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS WILL FULLY BE IN PLACE TODAY,
AS TEMPERATURES LARGELY STRUGGLE TO REACH INTO THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. THIS AIRMASS IS QUITE DRY... AND WITH DEWPOINTS MIXING
OUT INTO THE 20S THIS AFTERNOON, ANTICIPATING RHS TO FALL LOCALLY
INTO THE UPPER 20S, THOUGH MOST SPOTS LIKELY SETTLE INTO THE LOW-
TO-MID 30S. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTH, AND LARGELY ON THE
LIGHTER SIDE, THOUGH THERE MAY BE A FEW ROGUE GUSTS APPROACHING
20MPH THIS AFTERNOON. ALL IN ALL, THE VERY DRY NATURE OF THE
AIRMASS IN ITSELF MAY PROMOTE FIRE GROWTH IN SPOTS THAT FAILED TO
BAG APPRECIABLE RAIN ON MONDAY... BUT SOME LIMITATION WILL BE
CAST BY THE RELATIVELY LIGHTER NATURE OF THE WINDS AND THE COOL
TEMPERATURES. LOOKING AHEAD, WE EMBARK ON ANOTHER DRY STRETCH
THROUGH MUCH OF THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH RAIN CHANCES
MATERIALIZING ON FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AND AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL, WITH HIGHS WELL INTO
THE 60S AND EVEN THE LOW-TO-MID 70S POSSIBLE BY THE END OF THE
WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-082015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
311 AM EDT WED OCT 8 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (618).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (309).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-082015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
311 AM EDT WED OCT 8 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (663).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36...EXCEPT AROUND 41 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (335).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-082015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
311 AM EDT WED OCT 8 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (655).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33...EXCEPT 46-51 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (309).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-082015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
311 AM EDT WED OCT 8 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (666).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT...EXCEPT 40-45 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (296).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-082015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
311 AM EDT WED OCT 8 2025
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (659).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST AFTER
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (17).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (306).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
COLUMBUS DAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND
70. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAD
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