849  
FNUS53 KAPX 091020  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
520 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2025  
   
..LAKE EFFECT SNOW TODAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST  
LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER INTO THIS EVENING WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF  
ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
HURON LAKESHORES. MAINLY NORTH 20 FT WINDS BETWEEN 5-10 MPH ARE IN  
STORE TODAY WITH GUSTS TO 20-25 MPH AT TIMES LATER THIS AFTERNOON  
INTO THIS EVENING. COOL TEMPERATURES REMAIN IN PLACE WITH HIGHS IN  
THE 30S FOR MOST. NO RH CONCERNS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT  
SEVERAL DAYS.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-092115-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
520 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (539).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.47 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (77).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT...EXCEPT 56-61 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (536).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-092115-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
520 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (640).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.47 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23...EXCEPT 25-30 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (183).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (987).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ020-025>027-092115-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
520 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (711).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH  
AROUND 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.37 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400, THEN ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....16-21...EXCEPT 29-34 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (94).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW  
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN SNOW SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (434).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.43 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ031>033-092115-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
520 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT...EXCEPT 69-74 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (657).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 21 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.22 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20...EXCEPT 22-27 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (98).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN SNOW SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (420).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.56 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-092115-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
520 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2025  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS  
UNTIL 1200, THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (507).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.16 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....16-21.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (130).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (809).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED  
 
   
VETERANS DAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY, CHANCE OF LIGHT  
FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN  
THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS, SNOW SHOWERS AND  
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
DJC  
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