955
FNUS53 KAPX 091913
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
213 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2025
..ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUES THROUGH MONDAY
DISCUSSION
ONGOING LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH THIS
EVENING PROVIDING A BRIEF PRECIPITATION FREE PERIOD THIS EVENING
FOR MOST OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN. CURRENT GUSTY WINDS CALM FROM THE
NORTH CALM OVERNIGHT AND BEGIN TO TURN NORTH-NORTHWEST BY MONDAY
MORNING. ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS RETURN THIS MONDAY... MAINLY
IMPACTING AREAS NEAR THE LAKE HURON SHORELINES. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2-4 INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS FOR PARTS OF BENZIE AND MANISTEE COUNTIES.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-100930-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
213 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (56).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (502).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.17 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29...EXCEPT AROUND 31 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 10 DEGREES WARMER
NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (85).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
VETERANS DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (578).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-100930-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
213 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....18-23...EXCEPT 25-30 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT...EXCEPT 61-66 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (185).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1026).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....21-26...EXCEPT 29-34 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (76).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
VETERANS DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (662).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-100930-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
213 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....16-21...EXCEPT 29-34 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (71).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (479).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.42 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS
UNTIL 2400, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29...EXCEPT 33-38 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (134).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.11 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
VETERANS DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (606).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-100930-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
213 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20...EXCEPT 22-27 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (73).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (455).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.57 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS
UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (71).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.12 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
VETERANS DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (621).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-100930-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
213 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....16-21.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (111).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (866).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (94).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
VETERANS DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (607).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS, LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SJC
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