462  
FNUS53 KAPX 101018  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
518 AM EST MON NOV 10 2025  
   
..ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW INTO TONIGHT
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF  
NORTHERN MICHIGAN TODAY, ESPECIALLY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING  
WEST OF I-75. HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE NEAR AND SOUTH OF GRAND TRAVERSE  
BAY, WHERE 2-4" ARE FORECASTED BY TUESDAY MORNING AND LOCALIZED  
AMOUNTS OF 6" OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE NEAR MANISTEE. MAINLY LIGHT  
NORTHWEST 20 FT WINDS BETWEEN 5-10 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATER TODAY WITH  
GUSTS BETWEEN 10-20 MPH AT TIMES, HIGHEST NEAR THE LAKESHORES. HIGHS  
ANTICIPATED TO STAY IN THE LOW TO MID 30S TODAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES  
BETWEEN 30-40 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON FOR AREAS EAST OF  
I-75 TOWARD SAGINAW BAY.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-102115-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
518 AM EST MON NOV 10 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT...EXCEPT 49-54 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (670).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 16 DEGREES WARMER  
NEAR THE COAST.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (83).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.13 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
VETERANS DAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW  
SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (574).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.14 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-102115-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
518 AM EST MON NOV 10 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW  
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1096).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 76-81 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (79).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
VETERANS DAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (590).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ020-025>027-102115-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
518 AM EST MON NOV 10 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (509).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.14 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400, THEN SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (82).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.17 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
   
VETERANS DAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW  
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (549).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.03- 0.11 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ031>033-102115-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
518 AM EST MON NOV 10 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (603).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.37 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400, THEN ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.20 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
   
VETERANS DAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (568).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-102115-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
518 AM EST MON NOV 10 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1111).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (62).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
VETERANS DAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW  
SHOWERS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (614).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED
 
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
DJC  
 
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