679  
FNUS53 KAPX 102028  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
328 PM EST MON NOV 10 2025  
 
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW LINGERS THROUGH THIS EVENING. RAIN/SNOW  
SHOWERS RETURN TUESDAY...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WINDS WILL TURN NORTHEAST THIS EVENING, CAUSING LAKE EFFECT SNOW  
SHOWERS TO SPREAD EASTWARD BEFORE DISSIPATING OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL  
ACCUMULATIONS OF ROUGHLY A HALF INCH ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN LOWER  
AND UP TO A FEW INCHES FOR LOCATIONS SOUTHEAST OF GRAND TRAVERSE  
BAY ARE EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS  
RETURN THIS TUESDAY, DELIVERING AN ADDITIONAL TENTH INCH OR LESS  
OF QPF.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-110915-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
328 PM EST MON NOV 10 2025  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2400, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30...EXCEPT 33-38 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (64).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
VETERANS DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (520).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.15 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW  
SHOWERS LIKELY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (96).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 32 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (610).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-110915-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
328 PM EST MON NOV 10 2025  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29...EXCEPT AROUND 31 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (75).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
VETERANS DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (551).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (74).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (632).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ020-025>027-110915-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
328 PM EST MON NOV 10 2025  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS  
LIKELY UNTIL 2400, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (63).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.15 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
   
VETERANS DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN SNOW SHOWERS AND  
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (508).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY  
UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (151).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY UNTIL 1200, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 32 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (696).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ031>033-110915-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
328 PM EST MON NOV 10 2025  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS  
LIKELY UNTIL 2400, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 83-88 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (35).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.23 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
   
VETERANS DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (509).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (104).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (679).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-110915-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
328 PM EST MON NOV 10 2025  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....21-26.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (49).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
VETERANS DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS  
AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (543).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (89).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (567).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED  
 
   
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
SJC  
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