631  
FNUS53 KAPX 081755  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
155 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026  
   
..ADDITIONAL RAIN TONIGHT, WARMING TREND INTO THIS WEEKEND  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
BAND OF RAIN MOVES INTO THE REGION TONIGHT, WITH AN ADDITIONAL  
TENTH TO QUARTER OF AN INCH OF RAIN EAST OF 75, QUARTER TO A HALF  
WEST. PRECIPITATION FREE WEATHER ANTICIPATED ON THURSDAY WITH  
BREEZY WEST WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPPING INTO THE UPPER  
30S AND 40S ACROSS THE INTERIOR. MIXING HEIGHTS RISE TO AROUND 3.5  
TO 5.5 KFT DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON HOURS, WHICH MAY  
RESULT IN SLIGHTLY LOWER MIN RHS FOR INTERIOR NORTHEAST LOWER  
MICHIGAN AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE. WARMING TREND TAKES  
PLACE THIS WEEKEND, WITH POTENTIAL FOR SUB 40 HUMIDITY DURING THE  
AFTERNOON HOURS SATURDAY.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-090815-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
155 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.  
24 HR TREND......21 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 36 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (93).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.06- 0.35 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54...EXCEPT AROUND 40 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT...EXCEPT 49-54 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (813).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.03- 0.11 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.  
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (14).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND  
3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (497).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-090815-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
155 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). RAIN AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.  
24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 32 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (128).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.06- 0.14 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN  
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59...EXCEPT 40-45 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1363).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 27 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.  
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (17).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND  
6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.15 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 33-38 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (268).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.15 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ020-025>027-090815-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
155 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.  
24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 36 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (70).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 27 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.16- 0.43 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT AROUND 40 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 8 DEGREES COOLER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (761).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (11).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48...EXCEPT 33-38 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (412).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ031>033-090815-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
155 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.  
24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 32 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (94).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.14- 0.37 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55...EXCEPT 40-45 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER...EXCEPT 6 DEGREES COOLER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT...EXCEPT 53-58 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (807).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 24 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.13 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (9).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT...EXCEPT 62-67 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (458).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-090815-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
155 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......21 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 32 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (119).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.09- 0.20 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN  
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1428).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH INCREASING TO WEST  
AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.  
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (12).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.17 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (463).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.15 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED  
 
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
WARMER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID  
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
COOLER. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN  
THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
COLDER. SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.  
 
 
 
JLD  
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