809  
FNUS53 KAPX 291837  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
237 PM EDT WED APR 29 2026  
 
...TEMPERATURES TREND COOLER WITH RH VALUES TRENDING DRIER, BUT  
LOOK TO STAY ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LINGERING SHOWERS MAINLY FAVORING NORTHWEST LOWER WILL MOVE OUT  
OF THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON/ EVENING WITH CLOUDS DECREASING  
TONIGHT. A FEW SHOWER CHANCES POSSIBLE AT TIMES THURSDAY WITH  
PERHAPS SOME SNOW MIXING IN, BUT LIQUID EQUIVALENT TOTALS REMAIN  
LOW AT THIS TIME, GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.05" WITH MOST AREAS LIKELY  
STAYING PRECIPITATION-FREE. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TREND  
COOLER WITH BELOW NORMAL READINGS THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. RH  
VALUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND ARE LIKELY TO FALL AROUND OR JUST BELOW  
40 PERCENT ACROSS MOST INTERIOR AREAS, BUT LOOK TO REMAIN ABOVE  
CRITICAL LEVELS AS WE TREND SLIGHTLY DRIER. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL  
BE OCCASSIONALLY GUSTY AT TIMES (ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON  
HOURS) THROUGH THE WEEKEND NEARING OR EXCEEDING CRITICAL LEVELS.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-300815-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
237 PM EDT WED APR 29 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (42).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
UNTIL 1200. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49...EXCEPT 37-42 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (737).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (77).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (681).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-300815-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
237 PM EDT WED APR 29 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (61).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
UNTIL 1200. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53...EXCEPT AROUND 41 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (848).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (62).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (556).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ020-025>027-300815-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
237 PM EDT WED APR 29 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. WIDESPREAD FROST AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (39).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 37-42 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (628).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31...EXCEPT 36-41 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (71).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (752).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ031>033-300815-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
237 PM EDT WED APR 29 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. WIDESPREAD FROST AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (42).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT...EXCEPT 44-49 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (786).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (67).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT...EXCEPT 41-46 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (875).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-300815-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
237 PM EDT WED APR 29 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. WIDESPREAD FROST AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (54).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
UNTIL 1200. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1048).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (72).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (744).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED  
 
   
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NSC  
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