590  
FNUS53 KAPX 300557  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
157 AM EDT THU APR 30 2026  
   
..LOW, BUT NON-CRITICAL LEVEL, RELATIVE HUMIDITY EXPECTED
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DESPITE THE UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW DAYS, LACK  
OF DEEPER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL HELP DRIVE AFTERNOON RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY VALUES TO BELOW 40 PERCENT ACROSS SOME INTERIOR AREAS THIS  
AFTERNOON...AND AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. EVEN A BIT DRIER CONDITIONS  
FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON, WITH MUCH MORE WIDESPREAD SUB 40 PERCENT  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED...WITH EVEN SOME AREAS LIKELY  
DROPPING BELOW 30 PERCENT. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS (MIXED WITH SNOW?)  
TODAY AND AGAIN FRIDAY, BUT WITH MINIMAL RAIN AMOUNTS (MOST AREAS  
AND MUCH OF THE TIME WILL REMAIN RAIN-FREE). NORTHWEST WINDS WILL  
CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS AT TIMES  
APPROACHING/EXCEEDING CRITICAL LEVELS.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-302300-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
157 AM EDT THU APR 30 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT...EXCEPT 43-48 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (707).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (36).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (621).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-302300-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
157 AM EDT THU APR 30 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53...EXCEPT AROUND 41 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (589).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. AREAS OF FROST UNTIL  
2400WIDESPREAD FROST AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (31).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN  
MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (458).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ020-025>027-302300-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
157 AM EDT THU APR 30 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST  
UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND  
SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (613).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (28).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (740).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ031>033-302300-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
157 AM EDT THU APR 30 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT...EXCEPT 44-49 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (688).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (26).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT...EXCEPT 43-48 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (846).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-302300-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
157 AM EDT THU APR 30 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (894).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. WIDESPREAD FROST AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (675).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED
 
 
   
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE  
EVENING. WIDESPREAD FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID  
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSB  
 
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