757
FNUS53 KAPX 301836
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
236 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
...TEMPERATURES TREND COOLER WITH RH VALUES TRENDING DRIER, BUT
LOOK TO STAY ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS...
DISCUSSION
LINGERING SHOWERS MAINLY FAVORING NORTHEAST LOWER WILL MOVE OUT
OF THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON/ EVENING WITH CLOUDS DECREASING
SOME TONIGHT. A FEW SHOWER CHANCES POSSIBLE AT TIMES FRIDAY WITH
PERHAPS SOME SNOW MIXING IN, BUT LIQUID EQUIVALENT TOTALS REMAIN
LOW AT THIS TIME, WITH MOST AREAS LIKELY STAYING PRECIPITATION-
FREE. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TREND COOLER WITH BELOW NORMAL
READINGS THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY. RH VALUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND
ARE LIKELY TO FALL AROUND OR JUST BELOW 40 PERCENT ACROSS MOST
INTERIOR AREAS, BUT LOOK TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS AS WE
TREND SLIGHTLY DRIER. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE OCCASSIONALLY GUSTY
AT TIMES (ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS) THROUGH THE
WEEKEND NEARING OR EXCEEDING CRITICAL LEVELS.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-010815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
236 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. WIDESPREAD
FROST AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (35).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (621).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (54).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (784).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-010815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
236 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
UNTIL 2400, THEN WIDESPREAD FROST. SCATTERED
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
2400, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (31).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN UNTIL 1200SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48...EXCEPT AROUND 40 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (458).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (70).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT AROUND 41 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (743).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-010815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
236 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (23).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47...EXCEPT AROUND 40 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (740).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD
FROST.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (39).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (659).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-010815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
236 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (26).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT...EXCEPT 47-52 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (846).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD
FROST.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT...EXCEPT 76-81 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (33).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT...EXCEPT 37-42 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (783).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-010815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
236 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. WIDESPREAD
FROST AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
1200, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (675).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. WIDESPREAD FROST AFTER
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (48).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (893).
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NSC
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