289  
FNUS53 KAPX 290911  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
511 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
   
..ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN TODAY.  
RECENT RAIN-FREE WEATHER HAS LEAD TO DRYING FUELS ACROSS THE AREA,  
COMBINING WITH A DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD  
AND GUSTY WINDS TO LEAD TO THE RISK OF WILDFIRES THAT QUICKLY START  
AND SPREAD. MINIMUM RHS IN THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE ARE ANTICIPATED  
FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING -- MOST LIKELY ACROSS AREAS  
ALONG AND SOUTH OF M-32. DOWNSLOPING WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS WILL  
LIKELY TAKE LOWEST RH VALUES ALL THE WAY TO LAKE HURON SHORELINES  
FROM ALPENA SOUTH. 20 FT WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 7-12 MPH ARE EXPECTED  
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 20-30 MPH AT TIMES. LOOKING  
AHEAD, VERY LOW CHANCES FOR RAIN ARE IN THE FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 7  
DAYS WITH LITTLE SUBSTANTIAL AIRMASS CHANGE -- KEEPING CRITICAL/NEAR-  
CRITICAL RHS AND CONTINUED DRYING OF FUELS AN ONGOING CONCERN  
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-292015-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
511 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 60-65 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT...EXCEPT 33-38 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP  
TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (406).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 52-57 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 5 DEGREES WARMER NEAR THE  
COAST.  
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......40 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 33 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (52).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND  
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (558).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-292015-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
511 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP  
TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (695).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 16 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (49).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69...EXCEPT 49-54 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP  
TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (478).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ020-025>027-292015-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
511 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP  
TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (361).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 7 DEGREES WARMER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......42 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 32 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (33).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND  
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE WARMER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (551).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ031>033-292015-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
511 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT...EXCEPT 33-38 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP  
TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (410).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......39 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (36).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND  
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 4 DEGREES WARMER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP  
TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (667).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-292015-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
511 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP  
TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (731).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (57).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.  
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP  
TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (646).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED
 
 
   
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
DJC  
 
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