852  
FNUS53 KAPX 291920  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
320 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
 
...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER SATURDAY, DRY CONDITIONS THRU EARLY NEXT WEEK...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE GENERALLY MAINTAINS CONTROL OF THE REGION INTO EARLY  
NEXT WEEK, DESPITE FRONT TRYING TO DROP IN FROM ONTARIO SUNDAY NIGHT  
INTO MONDAY (BUT EXPECT THIS WILL BE RAIN-FREE). COOL/DRY E FLOW  
WILL LEAVE THE LAKE HURON SIDE IN THE 60S SATURDAY, BUT DOWNSLOPING  
WILL KEEP TEMPS IN THE 70S TOWARD LAKE MICHIGAN...AND EXPECT RHS IN  
THE 15-25 PERCENT RANGE OVER HERE. WINDS TO START OUT 7-12MPH  
GUSTING 15-17MPH BUT SHOULD TAPER TO 5-10MPH LATE...LAKE BREEZES  
POSSIBLE. HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD SUNDAY, WITH LIGHT WINDS AND LAKE  
BREEZES EXPECTED, THOUGH WINDS MAY PREVAIL FROM THE W. WARMER AND  
STILL DRY, WITH WIDESPREAD 20-30 PERCENT RHS EXPECTED; INTERIOR  
AREAS WITH DOWNSLOPING (ESP MIO/ROSE CITY AREA) COULD SEE 15-25  
PERCENT RHS. SLIGHTLY DEEPER MIXING POSSIBLE SUNDAY VS. SATURDAY.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-300815-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
320 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 6 DEGREES WARMER NEAR THE  
COAST.  
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 36 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND  
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 3 DEGREES WARMER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (511).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43...EXCEPT 45-50 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT...EXCEPT 65-70 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (21).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND  
6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 5 DEGREES COOLER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (475).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-300815-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
320 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (61).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69...EXCEPT 50-55 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 20 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (424).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (12).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (553).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ020-025>027-300815-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
320 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 8 DEGREES WARMER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......40 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 32 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (25).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED NEAR THE  
COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (485).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44...EXCEPT 47-52 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT...EXCEPT 65-70 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (28).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78...EXCEPT 53-58 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (383).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ031>033-300815-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
320 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 10 DEGREES WARMER  
NEAR THE COAST.  
MAX HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......39 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (27).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 4 DEGREES WARMER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (556).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 11 DEGREES COOLER  
NEAR THE COAST.  
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (29).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80...EXCEPT AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 7 DEGREES COOLER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT...EXCEPT 34-39 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (485).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-300815-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
320 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (61).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.  
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (587).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN PARTLY  
CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (16).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (710).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED  
 
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
FEF  
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