074  
FNUS53 KAPX 310859  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
459 AM EDT SUN MAY 31 2026  
   
..ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY AND MONDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER MICHIGAN TODAY, THEN  
WEAKENS A BIT ON MONDAY BEFORE GETTING REINFORCED FROM THE NORTH.  
PRECIPITATION-FREE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY, BEFORE  
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS ARRIVE. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY  
VALUES ARE EXPECTED EVERY DAY THROUGH THURSDAY, BEFORE FINALLY  
STARTING TO INCREASE. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP AS FAR  
AS THE UPPER TEENS PERCENT TODAY IN THE INTERIOR OF NORTHERN  
LOWER MICHIGAN. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL LOWER TO NEAR 20 PERCENT ON  
MONDAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TODAY, BUT EASTERLY WIND GUSTS TO  
AROUND 20 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY. MIXING HEIGHTS OF 4000 TO  
5000 FEET WILL BE COMMON TODAY, AND THOSE SHOULD BE HIGHER ON  
MONDAY.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-312200-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
459 AM EDT SUN MAY 31 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80...EXCEPT 58-63 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 5 DEGREES COOLER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (400).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (21).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82...EXCEPT AROUND 71 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (697).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-312200-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
459 AM EDT SUN MAY 31 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (480).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (547).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ020-025>027-312200-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
459 AM EDT SUN MAY 31 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (291).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (15).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT 60-65 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 9 DEGREES WARMER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (730).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ031>033-312200-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
459 AM EDT SUN MAY 31 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 7 DEGREES COOLER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT...EXCEPT 34-39 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (343).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......37 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 9 DEGREES WARMER NEAR THE  
COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT...EXCEPT 27-32 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (909).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-312200-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
459 AM EDT SUN MAY 31 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (586).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (854).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED
 
 
   
TUESDAY
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
JZ  
 
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