026
FXUS63 KAPX 220255
AFDAPX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1055 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE
- DRY EARLY WEEK, SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES RETURN MIDWEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 214 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2026
AN UPPER LOW NORTH OF LAKE SUPERIOR WILL SLIDE SOUTH/EAST TONIGHT,
WHILE A SURFACE LOW MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY. NORTHERN
MICHIGAN SITS SQUARELY BETWEEN THESE FEATURES, WITH LARGELY DEEP
LAYER DRY AIR IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THE NORTHERN FRINGE
OF THE PRECIPITATION AREA FROM THE SYSTEM TO OUR SOUTH MAY BRUSH FAR
SOUTHERN PARTS OF OUR AREA (M-55 SOUTHWARD) BUT ANY PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS WOULD BE QUITE LIGHT AS THE BEST FORCING AND DEEPEST
MOISTURE REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF OUR AREA. OTHERWISE, ANY LINGERING
DIURNAL SHOWERS WILL DISSIPATE EARLY THIS EVENING WITH MOST OF
NORTHERN MICHIGAN DRY OVERNIGHT - OUTSIDE OF THAT AFOREMENTIONED
SHOWER CHANCE SOUTH OF M-55. A LITTLE MILDER THAN LAST NIGHT
DUE TO MORE CLOUDS, BUT SOME INTERIOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST LOWER
INTO EASTERN UPPER WILL STILL DROP INTO THE 40S, WITH 50S
ELSEWHERE. PATCHY FOG ALSO POSSIBLE.
FEW SENSIBLE WEATHER CONCERNS MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH LOW AMPLITUDE
RIDGING OVER THE GREAT LAKES. LIGHT WINDS, AFTERNOON LAKE BREEZES
AND OVERALL MILD TEMPERATURES. UNSETTLED WEATHER AND INCREASING
SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES BY MIDWEEK, AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY OVER
WESTERN CANADA DROPS SOUTH/EAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES, HELPING TO
ONCE AGAIN CARVE OUT THE UPPER TROUGH ACROSS OUR AREA (A RECURRING
THEME IN RECENT WEEKS). THIS UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL LIKELY LINGER
THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY, WITH COOL AIR ALOFT AND SHOWER/STORM
CHANCES. QUIETER WEATHER AND DRIER CONDITIONS RETURN BY
FRIDAY/SATURDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDING INTO THE GREAT
LAKES. TEMPERATURES GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH MUCH OF
THIS WEEK.
MUCH WARMER WEATHER IS POISED TO RETURN FOR THE END OF JUNE INTO THE
FIRST PART OF JULY AS A TROUGH PUSHES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST,
INDUCING AMPLIFIED RIDGING OVER THE CENTRAL/EASTERN PARTS OF THE
CONUS. THIS WILL BRING MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES TO THE GREAT
LAKES.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1053 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2026
MAY SEE SOME FOG/MIST/STRATUS DEVELOP TOWARD SUNRISE AT KCIU,
KMBL, AND KPLN (GREATEST CONFIDENCE AT KCIU). OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS UNDER SOME PASSING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF LOCATIONS THIS MORNING. ANY FOG/MIST
AND LOW CLOUDS MIX OUT QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE, LEAVING BEHIND VFR
CONDITIONS UNDER JUST A FEW ELEVATED BASED CUMULUS AND PASSING
HIGH CLOUDS. LIGHT WINDS BECOME A BIT GUSTY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST
TODAY, BECOMING LIGHT AGAIN THIS EVENING.
APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JK
AVIATION...MSB
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page