580  
FNUS53 KAPX 250701  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
301 AM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026  
   
..NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
WHILE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM IS POSSIBLE TODAY  
THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MI, BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. COULD SEE SOME  
ISOLATED HEAVIER RAIN TOTALS BY TUESDAY MORNING. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE  
PROFILES WILL ALSO INCREASE, KEEPING AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS DO BECOME A BIT GUSTY AT TIMES TODAY, NEARING OR EXCEEDING  
CRITICAL LEVELS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. LIGHTER WINDS EXPECTED  
SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, ALBEIT POTENTIALLY GUSTY/ERRATIC NEAR  
ANY THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-252015-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
301 AM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT...EXCEPT 49-54 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (668).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (29).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 73-78 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT...EXCEPT 53-58 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (469).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-252015-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
301 AM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (584).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (26).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (350).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ020-025>027-252015-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
301 AM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (638).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66...EXCEPT 68-73 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88...EXCEPT 73-78 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (471).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...23 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ031>033-252015-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
301 AM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT...EXCEPT 60-65 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (639).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (31).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 57-62 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (613).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...26 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-252015-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
301 AM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (664).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (31).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (676).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED
 
 
   
MONDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MJG  
 
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