288
FNUS53 KAPX 251829
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
229 PM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026
..RAIN CHANCES SLOWLY ON THE INCREASE
DISCUSSION
WHILE A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY, MUCH OF THE AREA AND MOST OF THE TIME WILL
LIKELY REMAIN RAIN-FREE. BETTER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. COULD SEE SOME
ISOLATED HEAVIER RAIN TOTALS BY TUESDAY MORNING. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
PROFILES WILL ALSO INCREASE, KEEPING AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. OTHER THAN
PERHAPS SOME GUSTY WINDS WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS, NOT EXPECTING ANY
SIGNIFICANT WIND CONCERNS THROUGH MONDAY.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-261100-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
229 PM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (27).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 73-78 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT...EXCEPT 53-58 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (272).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66...EXCEPT 68-73 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (22).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...22 PERCENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 71-76 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (242).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.09- 0.27 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-261100-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
229 PM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64...EXCEPT 66-71 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (22).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (248).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (27).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...19 PERCENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (273).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.07- 0.37 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...22 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-261100-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
229 PM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66...EXCEPT 68-73 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 3 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 16 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (31).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88...EXCEPT 73-78 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (295).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS
UNTIL 2400. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (29).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.16 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...31 PERCENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
UNTIL 1200, THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (312).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.09- 0.31 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-261100-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
229 PM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (33).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT...EXCEPT 57-62 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (364).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS
UNTIL 2400. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (29).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.16 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...34 PERCENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
UNTIL 1200, THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.30 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-261100-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
229 PM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (29).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (366).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (25).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (406).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.08- 0.42 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...22 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSB
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