146  
FNUS53 KAPX 261925  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
325 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2026  
   
..STORMY TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW ROUNDS OF STORMS (POSSIBLY STRONG/SEVERE) THE  
NEXT 24-36HRS, ESP TONIGHT THRU MONDAY. WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT/VARIABLE  
TO SUBTLY SOUTHWEST/WEST, OUTSIDE OF ANY STORMS THRU MONDAY (STORMS  
COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS)...BECOMING N TO PERHAPS NE TUESDAY AND  
PICK UP TOWARD SUSTAINED 5-15MPH, WITH POTENTIAL 20-25MPH GUSTINESS.  
MINRHS SHOULD BE MORE MOIST MONDAY, ESP IF STORMS/CLOUDS HANG ON  
EARLY IN THE DAY, BUT IF WE STAY CLEARER LONGER, HIGHS IN UPPER 80S  
TO PERHAPS LOW 90S TOWARD LAKE HURON COULD KEEP RHS SIMILAR TO  
TODAY. MIXING HEIGHTS MONDAY ALSO SIMILAR TO TODAY...GENERALLY 3-  
6KFT. OVERALL TRENDS FOR WARMER/DRIER MIDWEEK AND BEYOND, BUT COULD  
BE MARRED IF STORMS DEVELOP TO OUR NORTHWEST AND DROP IN, WITH SOME  
SIMILARITIES TO THE SETUP A COUPLE WEEKS AGO WHEN THE FIRES BEGAN IN  
THE BOUNDARY WATERS REGION OF MN UP INTO ONTARIO.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-270815-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
325 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2026  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66...EXCEPT 68-73 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (23).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.30 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...19 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (284).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.26 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...28 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (38).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.20 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79...EXCEPT AROUND 71 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 21 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (613).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-270815-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
325 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2026  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.34 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...28 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (338).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.27 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...28 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (33).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.26 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...36 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80...EXCEPT AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (564).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ020-025>027-270815-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
325 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2026  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (27).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (280).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.06- 0.12 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...28 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (46).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.03- 0.11 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78...EXCEPT AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (578).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ031>033-270815-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
325 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2026  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (25).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...19 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (375).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.06- 0.15 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...35 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (675).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-270815-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
325 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2026  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (19).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...22 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (443).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.09- 0.21 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...29 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (31).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.20 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...36 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (667).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED
 
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. LIGHT WINDS.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
FEF  
 
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