051
FNUS53 KAPX 151845
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
245 PM EDT TUE SEP 15 2026
..LINGERING SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS DIMINISH
DISCUSSION
LINGERING SHOWERS AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON; HOWEVER, A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS WEST TO EAST
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS WILL BRING THE
ARRIVAL OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR, ALONG WITH WINDS TURNING OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST AND DIMINISHING. WHILE LOW CHANCES FOR A FEW SHOWER EXIST
AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT, THE BULK OF WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY LOOK TO
FEATURE MAINLY PRECIPITATION-FREE CONDITIONS, SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT WINDS. AFTERNOON RHS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-160800-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
245 PM EDT TUE SEP 15 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (27).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (161).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (15).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (317).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-160800-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
245 PM EDT TUE SEP 15 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (34).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND
9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (179).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (15).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (224).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-160800-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
245 PM EDT TUE SEP 15 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR
THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (25).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND
9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (146).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED NEAR THE
COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (19).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (230).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-160800-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
245 PM EDT TUE SEP 15 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (27).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND
9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 25 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (140).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (21).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (205).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-160800-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
245 PM EDT TUE SEP 15 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (28).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND
9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (146).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (221).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MJG
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