292
FNUS53 KAPX 161912
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
312 PM EDT WED SEP 16 2026
..SOME LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE THURSDAY/MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN SATURDAY
DISCUSSION
THICKENING CLOUDS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN
MICHIGAN TONIGHT...WITH SOME SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS EXPECTED TO
CROSS THE REGION THURSDAY MORNING. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO WIND DOWN
DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH SOME CLEARING EXPECTED. DRY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY BEFORE A MORE SUBSTANTIAL THREAT OF RAIN ARRIVES
FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED ONE INCH BY SATURDAY EVENING FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF THE M-32 CORRIDOR...AND COULD APPROACH TWO INCHES
ACROSS M-55. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-170815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
312 PM EDT WED SEP 16 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (268).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (262).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-170815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
312 PM EDT WED SEP 16 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT 56-61 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (215).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT 55-60 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (333).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-170815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
312 PM EDT WED SEP 16 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75...EXCEPT 63-68 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (163).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (240).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-170815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
312 PM EDT WED SEP 16 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (19).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (176).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (23).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (238).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-170815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
312 PM EDT WED SEP 16 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (23).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (290).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
SATURDAY
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND
70. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
JPB
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