493  
FNUS73 KAPX 280859  
FWSAPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OGEMAW FUEL BREAK...MIDNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
459 AM EDT MON SEP 28 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE... CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (989)732-9306, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
RAIN-FREE AND MILD CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE AT THE BURN  
LOCATION TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. GOOD MIXING OUT OF MOISTURE  
EXPECTED, DROPPING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 50 PERCENT THIS  
AFTERNOON. GOOD TO EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY TONIGHT, WITH VALUES  
DROPPING TO NEAR OR BELOW 50 PERCENT AGAIN ON TUESDAY. LIGHT NORTH  
WINDS TODAY, GOING CALM TONIGHT, BECOMING LIGHT SOUTHWEST ON  
TUESDAY. MIXING HEIGHTS TOP OUT NEAR OR ABOVE 4.5KFT THIS AFTERNOON  
AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SUB 500 FT LEVELS FOR TONIGHT.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4600 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (32.0-323.0).  
 
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........6 6 8 11 13  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............69 70 72 73 72  
RH..............53 49 46 44 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 4.2 4.6 4.6 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 7 8  
VRATE KT-FT.....302 292 323 278 312  
VENTRATE CAT....GD FR GD FR GD  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH DECREASING TO 2 TO 3 MPH  
OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 2 MPH AFTER 3 AM SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (8.0-219.0).  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........10 7 4 8 12 16 14 13 12 15 19 22  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............69 65 61 57 54 51 50 49 48 47 45 44  
RH..............53 63 72 83 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N W W W N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 6 6 6 2 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NE NE N N N NW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 7 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT.....219 56 24 26 21 17 13 12 8 8 8 9  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4700 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (11.0-472.0).  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........27 33 38 32 26 19 18 16 15 15 16 16  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............43 42 44 49 57 63 67 69 71 72 73 72  
RH..............100 100 100 100 83 75 65 59 53 51 49 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 2 2 2 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.1 1 1 7 7 7 12 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.8 2.8 3.5 4.1 4.6 4.7 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 5 7 8 8 8 8 10 12 9  
VRATE KT-FT.....13 12 11 19 51 128 198 244 286 413 472 328  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR GD GD GD  
 

 
FORECASTER...MSB  
REQUESTED BY...JEFF VASHER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2622623.0/APX  
.DELDT 09/28/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL VASHERJ@MICHIGAN.GOV  
 
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