146
FNUS73 KAPX 290639
FWSAPX
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOHAWK TRAIL...MIDNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
239 AM EDT TUE SEP 29 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE... CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (989)732-9306, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
LOCALLY DENSE FOG AROUND THE BURN SITE EARLY THIS
MORNING SHOULD BE LONG GONE BY IGNITION TIME WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
GIVING WAY TO AN UPTICK IN CLOUD COVER TOWARD SUNSET AND BEYOND.
LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS ANTICIPATED AT THE SITE TODAY
WITH AFTERNOON MIN RH FAVORED TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW-MID 40%
RANGE, BUT LOW PROBABILITIES DO EXIST FOR RHS TO FALL TO 35-40%.
MIXING HEIGHTS IN EXCESS OF 3.5 KFT THIS AFTERNOON, AND LIKELY OVER
4 KFT FOR A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD. RAIN CHANCES RETURN AT THE BURN
SITE TONIGHT, MAINLY AFTER 2 AM.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4300 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR TO GOOD (239.0-376.0).
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........29 30 32 34 36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............71 73 74 75 75
RH..............55 49 45 43 42
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.9 4.2 4.3 4.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 9 10
VRATE KT-FT.....239 271 340 345 376
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR GD GD GD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-800 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (26.0-222.0).
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........44 53 61 67 73 79 82 86 90 91 93 94
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............73 69 66 63 61 59 58 58 58 58 57 57
RH..............45 54 63 70 75 80 83 83 83 83 86 86
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S SW SW SW S S S SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 8 8 8 7 8 7 8 8 8
VRATE KT-FT.....222 58 28 30 30 29 27 30 26 31 30 31
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (34.0-229.0).
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........94 94 93 92 90 89 89 89 89 85 81 77
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 56 56 57 59 61 62 64 65 66 67 67
RH..............93 93 96 96 93 90 87 84 81 78 75 75
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 13 13 13 16 16 16 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW S SW SW S S SW SW S SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 12 13 13 15 15 15 13 13 14
VRATE KT-FT.....34 37 43 89 127 135 186 207 229 207 209 187
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR
FORECASTER...MJG
REQUESTED BY...JEFF VASHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622672.0/APX
.DELDT 09/29/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL VASHERJ@MICHIGAN.GOV
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