640
FNUS53 KAPX 221916
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
316 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
..FOG TONIGHT, QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES
DISCUSSION
EXPECT MORE PATCHY DENSE FOG TONIGHT ACROSS THE REGION WITH LIGHT
AND VARIABLE TO SLIGHTLY SE/S WINDS, ESP BY MORNING; PREVAILING
WINDS TURN MORE S TO SE FRIDAY BUT REMAIN 5-10MPH OR LESS, AND LAKE
BREEZES COULD DEVELOP AGAIN. GIVEN RHS HAVE REMAINED HIGHER THAN
EXPECTED FOR MANY AREAS TODAY DUE TO SLOW-TO-DETERIORATE CLOUD
COVER, CONCERNED THIS COULD HAPPEN AGAIN FRIDAY...AND IF SO, MINRHS
WOULD REMAIN HIGHER THAN CURRENT EXPECTATIONS; THIS WOULD MOST
LIKELY OCCUR TOWARD LAKE HURON AGAIN AND COULD EXTEND TOWARD WEST
BRANCH/GLADWIN. WINDS WILL PICK UP A BIT SATURDAY/SATURDAY NIGHT,
AND THE NEXT RAIN CHANCES WILL BE SUNDAY, THOUGH THEY ARE LOW RIGHT
NOW.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-230815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
316 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (32).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 11 DEGREES WARMER
NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 20 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (162).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 3 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (34).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (311).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-230815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
316 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (26).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67...EXCEPT 52-57 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 26 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (159).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (268).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-230815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
316 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR
THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (180).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48...EXCEPT 55-60 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER...EXCEPT 7 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (29).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (334).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-230815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
316 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (17).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT...EXCEPT 56-61 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (180).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (34).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (338).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-230815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
316 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (26).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........POOR (125).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (25).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (308).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
FEF
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