218
FXUS63 KBIS 260339
AFDBIS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
939 PM CST SAT JAN 25 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES BEGIN SUNDAY, AND WILL LAST THROUGH
NEXT WEEK.
- BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- MAINLY DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS FORECAST, WITH PRECIPITATION
CHANCES RETURNING NEXT WEEKEND.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 938 PM CST SAT JAN 25 2025
MODIFIED SKY COVER A BIT BASED ON LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
SFC OBS. OTHERWISE, CHANGES TO THE FORECAST WERE MINIMAL FOR
THIS PRODUCT ISSUANCE.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 542 PM CST SAT JAN 25 2025
NO BIG CHANGES TO THE FORECAST WITH THIS PRODUCT ISSUANCE. SOME
MID LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING EAST ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AT THE
MOMENT. EMBEDDED WAVE DIVING SOUTH INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL
THEN BRING SOME MORE CLOUD COVER AND AN UPTICK IN WINDS TONIGHT.
THUS, DID INCREASE CLOUD COVER A BIT ALONG WITH ADJUSTED WIND
GRIDS FOR THIS WAVE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 225 PM CST SAT JAN 25 2025
WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO NORTH DAKOTA, SKIES HAVE CLEARED
OUT. WITH THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WELL BEHIND US, WINDS ARE
CALMING DOWN TO GUSTING 15-20 MPH. THE CENTER OF THE SURFACE
HIGH IS IN THE EASTERN HALF OF MONTANA. ALOFT THE PATTERN IS A
WEAK NORTHERLY FLOW, WITH A TILTED RIDGE TO OUR WEST. BLOWING
SNOW, VIA SATELLITE, CONTINUES IN THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY. THIS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING, UNTIL WINDS CALM MORE.
STARTING SUNDAY, WE WILL BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE FOR TEMPERATURES.
STRONGER NORTHWEST FLOW WILL SETUP OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS, BUT
WARMER AIR AT 850MB AND BREEZY WINDS WILL MIX THE WARMER
TEMPERATURES TO THE SURFACE. WINDS WILL BE BREEZY FROM A
PRESSURE GRADIENT OFF A LOW PRESSURE CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVING
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH TUESDAY. WINDS SHOULD BE CALMER
AFTER TUESDAY THEN. LITTLE TO NO SNOW IS EXPECT THROUGH MOST OF
NEXT WEEK, UNTIL A POSSIBLE COLORADO LOW MOVES INTO THE MIDWEST
VERY LATE NEXT WEEK. THERE IS CURRENTLY SCATTERED SLIGHT
CHANCES (15%) FOR SNOW ACROSS THE COUNTY WARNING AREA FOR THIS.
TEMPERATURES LOOK LIKE THEY COULD COOL BACK TO AVERAGE OR BELOW
NEXT WEEKEND AS WELL. THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER'S FIRST
WEEK OF FEBRUARY SHOWS CHANCES OF BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
AND POSSIBLY ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 542 PM CST SAT JAN 25 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE 00Z TAF PERIOD, ALONG
WITH CONTINUED BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS. A WEATHER DISTURBANCE
PUSHING SOUTH INTO THE REGION TONIGHT WILL BRING SOME MID LEVEL
CLOUDS AND AN UPTICK IN WINDS. MAINLY EXPECTING 8KFT CIGS AT THE
LOWEST LEVELS. LOW LEVEL WINDS SHEAR IS ALSO EXPECTED AT ALL
TERMINALS TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING FOR SEVERAL HOURS.
BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE...NH
DISCUSSION...SMITH
AVIATION...NH
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