526
FXUS63 KBIS 280754
AFDBIS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
233 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY, ALONG
WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS.
- A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING BREEZY WINDS ON THURSDAY AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES ON HALLOWEEN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 233 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
FOR TODAY, DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE ON TAP AS SURFACE LOW
OVER EASTERN ND PUSHES OFF FURTHER TO THE EAST. QUIET WEATHER
IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY, THOUGH THE WEST MAY BECOME BREEZY IN
THE AFTERNOON AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES THE STATE. BREEZY
TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE THEN ON TAP FOR THURSDAY AS THE CLIPPER
DIPS DOWN THROUGH EASTERN ND/MN. A LITTLE LIGHT PRECIPITATION
MAY ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM SOMETIME LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY. FOR THE MOST PART, RAIN IS THE FAVORED FORM OF
PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER, DEPENDING ON TIMING, A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW
ISN'T ENTIRELY OUT OF THE QUESTION EITHER. WHILE GLOBAL
DETERMINISTIC MODELS AREN'T REAL SUPPORTIVE OF IT, ENSEMBLES ARE
PICKING UP ON WIDESPREAD 20 TO 30 PERCENT PRECIPITATION CHANCES
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY POTENTIALLY DIPS
THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SEASONABLE AND IN THE MID 40S TO LOW
50S THROUGH THURSDAY. TRAILING THE AFOREMENTIONED CLIPPER,
CONFIDENCE IS RELATIVELY HIGH IN BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR
HALLOWEEN WITH MOST LOCATIONS TOPPING OUT IN THE UPPER 30S TO
LOW 40S. A WEST TO EAST WARMING TREND IS THEN FAVORED THIS
WEEKEND BRINGING A RETURN TO THE 50S FOR MOST OF THE STATE BY
SUNDAY. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 20S, WHICH IS SLIGHTLY
BELOW AVERAGE (LOW 20S WEST) TO NEAR AVERAGE (UPPER 20S EAST). LOWS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE SEASONABLE AND MOSTLY IN
THE MID 20S TO LOW 30S. HALLOWEEN NIGHT IS FAVORED TO DROP INTO THE
20S ONCE AGAIN FOR MOST LOCATIONS.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1236 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
MVFR CEILINGS IMPACTING KJMS SHOULD CLEAR OUT OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE TO FEW HOURS. A NARROW STRIP OF MVFR STRATUS IS ALSO
PASSING THROUGH KBIS. AFTER THESE CLEAR OUT, VFR CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR WESTERN THROUGH
CENTRAL ND, INCLUDING THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY. OTHERWISE, BREEZY
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE ON TAP DURING THE DAY TUESDAY.
BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...TELKEN
AVIATION...TELKEN
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