725
FXUS63 KBIS 281728
AFDBIS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1228 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY, ALONG
WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS.
- A CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BRING BREEZY WINDS ON THURSDAY AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES ON HALLOWEEN.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1225 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION, THEREFORE NO UPDATES
ARE NEEDED AT THIS TIME.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 938 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES SLOWLY
ARE WARMING INTO THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NO UPDATES ARE NEEDED
AT THIS TIME AS THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 621 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 233 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
FOR TODAY, DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE ON TAP AS SURFACE LOW
OVER EASTERN ND PUSHES OFF FURTHER TO THE EAST. QUIET WEATHER
IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY, THOUGH THE WEST MAY BECOME BREEZY IN
THE AFTERNOON AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES THE STATE. BREEZY
TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE THEN ON TAP FOR THURSDAY AS THE CLIPPER
DIPS DOWN THROUGH EASTERN ND/MN. A LITTLE LIGHT PRECIPITATION
MAY ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM SOMETIME LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY. FOR THE MOST PART, RAIN IS THE FAVORED FORM OF
PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER, DEPENDING ON TIMING, A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW
ISN'T ENTIRELY OUT OF THE QUESTION EITHER. WHILE GLOBAL
DETERMINISTIC MODELS AREN'T REAL SUPPORTIVE OF IT, ENSEMBLES ARE
PICKING UP ON WIDESPREAD 20 TO 30 PERCENT PRECIPITATION CHANCES
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY POTENTIALLY DIPS
THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SEASONABLE AND IN THE MID 40S TO LOW
50S THROUGH THURSDAY. TRAILING THE AFOREMENTIONED CLIPPER,
CONFIDENCE IS RELATIVELY HIGH IN BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR
HALLOWEEN WITH MOST LOCATIONS TOPPING OUT IN THE UPPER 30S TO
LOW 40S. A WEST TO EAST WARMING TREND IS THEN FAVORED THIS
WEEKEND BRINGING A RETURN TO THE 50S FOR MOST OF THE STATE BY
SUNDAY. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 20S, WHICH IS SLIGHTLY
BELOW AVERAGE (LOW 20S WEST) TO NEAR AVERAGE (UPPER 20S EAST). LOWS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE SEASONABLE AND MOSTLY IN
THE MID 20S TO LOW 30S. HALLOWEEN NIGHT IS FAVORED TO DROP INTO THE
20S ONCE AGAIN FOR MOST LOCATIONS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1225 PM CDT TUE OCT 28 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITH
WIND GUSTS DROPPING OFF AROUND SUNSET. LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT ARE
FORECAST TO BACK OUT OF THE SOUTH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING WITH
BREEZY CONDITIONS OUT WEST TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE...JOHNSON/TELKEN
DISCUSSION...TELKEN
AVIATION...JOHNSON
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