776
FXUS63 KBIS 042108
AFDBIS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
308 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FAVORED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THURSDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE THE WARMEST DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S NORTHEAST TO LOWER 60S FAR SOUTHWEST.
- SLIGHT (20%) CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW COULD RETURN EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 305 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
CURRENTLY A LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS SITTING OVER THE WEST
COAST AND DOMINATING THE PATTERN WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
AT THE SURFACE, LOW CLOUDS ARE STILL LINGERING IN NORTH DAKOTA,
ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE PATCHY FOG IS GONE. WITH THIS CLOUD COVER
TEMPERATURES ARE STILL WARMING INTO THE 30S WITH A WARM
SOUTHWEST WIND.
FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE WINDY, ESPECIALLY IN THE JAMES RIVER VALLEY
FROM A COLD FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH OFF A PASSING CLIPPER THAT
STAYS IN CANADA, THIS WILL ALSO COOL TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY.
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THEN CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT MONDAY
AS THE LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH CONTINUES THROUGH SATURDAY.
SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN THE RIDGE DIES, LEADING TO NORTHWEST
FLOW. THE VERY WARM 850MB TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY LEADING TO THE WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES STAYING.
MONDAY THOUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST THAT NORTHWEST FLOW
COULD CREATE SOME ALBERTA CLIPPERS ONCE AGAIN OFF THE NORTHERN
(CANADIAN) ROCKIES. AS OF NOW, THE NBM HAS SLIGHT (20%) CHANCES
FOR LIGHT SNOW MIXING WITH RAIN AT TIMES. TIMING LOOKS LIKE
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS A FEW OTHER CLIPPER SYSTEMS
COULD FOLLOW IN LINE. WEDNESDAY THE SHORTWAVE COULD DIG A LITTLE
DEEPER AND PRODUCE LIGHT SNOW IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE
INSTEAD OF THE NORTH. TEMPERATURES WITH THE CLIPPERS WILL BE
CLOSER TO NORMAL, ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTH WHERE THE COOLER AIR
IN THE CLIPPERS WILL BE. THE RANGE LOOKS TO BE IN THE UPPER 20S
NORTH TO LOWER 40S SOUTHWEST TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 305 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
VFR WEST TO MAINLY IFR ELSEWHERE. CIGS AND FOG WILL SLOWLY
CLEAR WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GUST TO
25KTS FROM THE WEST.
BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...SMITH
AVIATION...SMITH
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