177
FXUS63 KBIS 082027
AFDBIS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
227 PM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR-RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S FOR THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON.
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW ON MONDAY.
TEMPERATURES TREND SLIGHTLY COOLER NEXT WEEK, BUT REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 223 PM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE 50S OUT WEST WITH MID 40S
ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL. A WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON PUSHING OUT THE LOW STRATUS.
THERE ARE SOME HIGH CLOUDS LINGERING ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA
WHICH WILL LIKELY CAP TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 50S WITH A THE
CHANCE OF A FEW SITES REACHING THE LOWER 60S. TONIGHT,
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO DROP DOWN INTO THE LOWER 30S. THE
HI-RES MODELS ARE HINTING AT A BANDED PRECIPITATION EVENT TAKING
PLACE TONIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO BE LIGHT RAIN DURING THE
DAY AND A LIGHT RAIN SNOW MIX SNOW OVERNIGHT. THIS IS THE FIRST
RUN WERE THE CAMS HAVE BEEN IN SOME WHAT AN AGREEMENT OF TIMING
AND LOCATION. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL DOWN INTO THE 30S TO LOWER
40S MONDAY AFTERNOON. EVEN THOUGH COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE
INCOMING MONDAY'S TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
QUASI-ZONAL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK
WITH CHANCES 20 TO 40 PERCENT FOR RAIN AND SNOW WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY ALONG THE NORTH AND SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER. PERSISTENT
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THIS
COMING WEEK AS WELL WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S. THE PATTERN
COULD BE MORE ACTIVE NEXT WEEKEND AS THE ENSEMBLES HAVE A
TROUGHING PATTERN OUT WEST.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1153 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO CLEAR OUT ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN
NORTH DAKOTA LEADING TO VFR CONDITIONS. THERE COULD BE SOME LOW
LEVEL WIND SHEAR ACROSS KXWA AND KMOT THIS AFTERNOON. WIND WILL
VEER OUT OF THE WEST AS A WARM FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
IFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS WILL CLEAR OUT EAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE STATE. WIND GUSTS WILL DIMINISH
AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT.
BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...JOHNSON
AVIATION...JOHNSON
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