717
FXUS63 KBIS 092124
AFDBIS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
324 PM CST MON FEB 9 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- PATCHY FOG TONIGHT IN THE SOUTHWEST.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FAVORED FOR MOST AREAS THIS WEEK,
WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
- MEDIUM CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW ACROSS SOUTHERN NORTH
DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 320 PM CST MON FEB 9 2026
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A WAVE MOVING THROUGH SOUTH DAKOTA
ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY. DRY LAYER ALOFT AND SUBSIDENCE IS
HINDERING PRECIPITATION FROM REACHING I-94. RAIN AND SNOW HAS
BEEN OBSERVED IN THE SOUTHWEST TODAY FROM THIS WAVE. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO WARM INTO THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
TONIGHT TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO DROP DOWN INTO THE UPPER
TEENS TO MID 20S. PATCHY FOG IS FORECAST TO FORM IN THE
SOUTHWEST TONIGHT LIGHTER WINDS RECENT MOISTURE COULD ENABLE FOG
DEVELOPMENT.
THE PATTERN WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STAGNANT THIS WEEK. TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE FROM THE 30S TO 40S ALL WEEK. THE UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN A QUASI ZONAL FLOW INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
A SPLIT FLOW UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL MAJORITY OF THE WAVES
NORTH AND SOUTH OF NORTH DAKOTA. THURSDAY ONE OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED WAVES COULD MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS
HOWEVER THE ONLY PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE ALONG THE NORTH AND
SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER. SPLIT FLOW WILL REMAIN THROUGH WEEKEND
KEEPING THE PATTERN FAIRLY QUIET. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO DIG ACROSS WESTERN CONUS EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH COULD
LEAD TO A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1135 AM CST MON FEB 9 2026
SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH OF MOST TERMINALS ACROSS THE
STATE THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, THERE COULD BE A LOW CHANCE FOR
SNOW IN THE SOUTHERN TERMINALS, THUS PROB 30S WERE ADDED TO THE
SOUTHERN TAF SITES. MVFR CONDITIONS COULD BE PRESENT IN SNOW
AND RAIN FALLING, TEMPOS WILL BE MADE FOR FALLING PRECIPITATION.
MVFR CONDITIONS COULD RETURN TO THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT AS
STRATUS BUILDS BACK IN. THIS WILL LIKELY NOT IMPACT ANY OF THE
TAF TERMINALS AT THIS TIME.
BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...JOHNSON
AVIATION...JOHNSON
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