205
FXUS63 KBIS 100415
AFDBIS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1015 PM CST MON FEB 9 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- PATCHY FOG TONIGHT IN THE SOUTHWEST.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FAVORED FOR MOST AREAS THIS WEEK,
WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1015 PM CST MON FEB 9 2026
LIMITED UPDATES NEEDED LATE THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION HAS
DIMINISHED OR MOVED OUT OF NORTH DAKOTA. A WEAK SECONDARY COLD
FRONT IS PUSHING ACROSS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AND CURRENTLY
BRINGING SOME LOWER CLOUDS TO THE AREA. EXPECT THIS FRONT TO
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWARD THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT LINGERING
SOME LOWER CLOUDS. PERHAPS A FEW FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
CLOUDS, ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE WAS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO PLACE IN THE
FORECAST AT THIS TIME. AREAS WITH PARTIAL CLEARING COULD SEE
SOME PATCHY FOG TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY IN THE WEST. OTHER THAT SOME
MINOR CHANGES TO SKY COVER THE FORECAST OVERALL REMAINS ON
TRACK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 545 PM CST MON FEB 9 2026
LIMITED UPDATES NEEDED EARLY THIS EVENING. THERE IS SOME LIGHT
RAIN AND SNOW BEING REPORTED NEAR THE ND/SD BORDER AND COULD
LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. OTHERWISE PARTLY CLEAR TO
CLOUDY SKIES WILL BE FOUND TONIGHT WITH PERHAPS SOME PATCHY FOG
IN THE SOUTHWEST AND COOLER LOWS IN THE MID TEENS TO MID 20S.
OVERALL JUST MINOR UPDATES TO POPS BASED ON CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS FOR THIS UPDATE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 320 PM CST MON FEB 9 2026
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A WAVE MOVING THROUGH SOUTH DAKOTA
ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY. DRY LAYER ALOFT AND SUBSIDENCE IS
HINDERING PRECIPITATION FROM REACHING I-94. RAIN AND SNOW HAS
BEEN OBSERVED IN THE SOUTHWEST TODAY FROM THIS WAVE. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO WARM INTO THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
TONIGHT TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO DROP DOWN INTO THE UPPER
TEENS TO MID 20S. PATCHY FOG IS FORECAST TO FORM IN THE
SOUTHWEST TONIGHT LIGHTER WINDS RECENT MOISTURE COULD ENABLE FOG
DEVELOPMENT.
THE PATTERN WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STAGNANT THIS WEEK. TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE FROM THE 30S TO 40S ALL WEEK. THE UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN A QUASI ZONAL FLOW INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
A SPLIT FLOW UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL MAJORITY OF THE WAVES
NORTH AND SOUTH OF NORTH DAKOTA. THURSDAY ONE OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED WAVES COULD MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS
HOWEVER THE ONLY PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE ALONG THE NORTH AND
SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER. SPLIT FLOW WILL REMAIN THROUGH WEEKEND
KEEPING THE PATTERN FAIRLY QUIET. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO DIG ACROSS WESTERN CONUS EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH COULD
LEAD TO A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 545 PM CST MON FEB 9 2026
LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW MAY LINGER ACROSS THE SOUTH EARLY THIS
EVENING, ALTHOUGH SHOULD MISS THE TAF SITES. CLOUDY SKIES COULD
THEN BE FOUND TONIGHT, WITH PERHAPS SOME PERIODS OF MVFR
CEILINGS. PATCHY FOG IS ALSO POSSIBLE, ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE WAS
NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME. LOOK FOR
CLEARING SKIES TOMORROW, ALTHOUGH SOME SITES COULD SEE FEW TO
SCT MVFR CEILINGS THROUGH THE MORNING, AND EVEN CONTINUE INTO
THE AFTERNOON. WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO BE FOUND THROUGH MUCH OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD.
BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
UPDATE...ANGLIN
DISCUSSION...JOHNSON
AVIATION...ANGLIN
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